Brexit 'no-deal' scenario: How likely - and what if?

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  • Published on Sep 10, 2018
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    There are just a few weeks to go until the crunch EU summit where the UK government and the European Commission are supposed to unveil their final Brexit deal. But whispers have been growing louder that this deadline is ambitious at the very least. Indeed, the possibility of the UK crashing out of the EU in what is called a "no-deal" scenario is still on the table.
    So how likely is a "no-deal" Brexit? And what happens if it does come about? Amid the uncertainty, increasing numbers of people - including major trade unions - are asking for a "people’s vote" on the final deal itself.
    A programme presented by Catherine Nicholson
    Produced by Isabelle Romero and Mathilde Bénézet.
    www.france24.com/en/taxonomy/emission/18743
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Comments • 1 004

  • Evaldas Kulys
    Evaldas Kulys 7 days ago

    Let these brits just go who care how they live after no need these liars in union all time they stop eu from progress

  • Albert Moore
    Albert Moore 12 days ago

    Take a deep breath, people. Courts might decide any day now that the UK ceased to be a member of EU on 29 March 2019.

  • adam ibra
    adam ibra 3 months ago

    Oh my UK I hope to be great in all time

  • Steve Foster
    Steve Foster 3 months ago

    Looking forward to the total destruction of the British economy. The little people of little Britain deserve it.

  • Claudine Jimdar
    Claudine Jimdar 3 months ago

    If President Trump was running for World President, I’d vote for him! I wonder how that scenario would play out? 😍

  • Bruno Brizzi
    Bruno Brizzi 3 months ago

    Brexit...just a bad idea.
    Bruno Brizzi Maccaferri.

  • oldproji
    oldproji 3 months ago

    If no deal is taken off the table then the Conservatives will be sent into the wilderness for the next three generations. Labour will also be dead.

  • Sphere723
    Sphere723 5 months ago +1

    Started jerking it to the ginger. Had to stop when they cut to Theresa. Just could not keep it hard after seeing that rabbit-with-downs-syndrome-face.

  • kathaleen jackson
    kathaleen jackson 6 months ago

    I must be bad, I am on the fence. However I believe that the UK are leaving for the wrong reasons. There is a wild part of me though that wonders how all (what I think of as) the idiotic will enjoy there no Deal Brexit though. Unfortunately I could be adversely affected by no deal and I feel angry that my so-called fellow countrymen have jeopardised my future.

  • 澳洲人文福澳洲人文福

    ❤️❤️❤️❤️❤️❤️🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧🌏🌏🌏🌏🌏🌏🌏🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫🛫😉😉😉😉😉☕☕☕☕☕☕☕

  • Hugs For Drugs
    Hugs For Drugs 6 months ago +1

    Lol *Like* if you regret to vote Brexit

  • Ilidio Carmona
    Ilidio Carmona 6 months ago

    i wonder what the spanish posicion on gibraltar will be during negotiations......uk really opened pandoras box on 2016

  • Anonymous Geordie
    Anonymous Geordie 7 months ago

    🇪🇺 🔥

  • Anonymous Geordie
    Anonymous Geordie 7 months ago

    Bye bye EU hello freedom 🇬🇧

  • Florence Stanfield
    Florence Stanfield 7 months ago

    I am getting more and more annoyed with the contempt the EU representatives talk about the British people. We voted to leave those who voted to stay were never informed there was going to be an EU arm yet now there is. Those who voted to stay were told it was not going to be a super state but now it is. We have also spotted over the years teh EU has sytematically been asset stripping our country to other EU countries. Icluding moving Transit production from the UK to a no EU country Turkey all with EU funding all the assets stripped lost British people jobs. The more they treat us like we are not worthy the more determind the people become to leave no deal. No second vote unless it has just two questions one "Theresa Mays deal" or "leave no deal." "The reamin in the EU" cannot be part of any people vote since the leave vote has already been done and this is only on selecting the deal.

  • Nicholas Woolfenden
    Nicholas Woolfenden 7 months ago

    Britain is an embarrassment. And the English trawlers backed away. Chicken.

  • Nicholas Woolfenden
    Nicholas Woolfenden 7 months ago

    How about dumping out. More suitable.

  • Fez
    Fez 7 months ago

    While China is on it's way to dominate the world, meanwhile the West is trying to break themselves apart. I am worried with the state of democracy becomes the real cause of this destruction.

  • Waaq Cir
    Waaq Cir 8 months ago

    False:
    1. Back stop is the only thing preventing a deal to be agreed.
    2. British people did not know consequence of LEAVE.
    3. EU not interested in weaking British Sovereignty.

  • peter dollins
    peter dollins 8 months ago

    Conspiracy? Trump made a dry test case run against the UK to support the Quitters (BREXIT.) See? . We had a vote in 1975 66% to Stay 33% to Quit. On arguments the Quitters sometimes use they need to accept the 75 vote as we were told it was for Ever. Remember? The 2016 vote was a scam driven by the Koch brothers with the 400 billionaires who support and follow them, Putin and his Trolls linked to Farage/Rees Mogg. (See The Devil's Bargain by Joshua Green, 'Dark Money' bt Jane Mayer, the reports of Carole Calladawr of the Guardian.) I lived in Extreme Right Countries as Spain 67 to spread the democratic word via the English Teaching Schools. I often nearly wept nights at the grimness of the poverty the depths of oppression. Any tension the Civil Guard were out in Valencia sub-machine guns waving. Children unconscious at seven from overwork, not sleeping, unconscious. People singing so sad in prisons there since 39 for voting for the Legal Republican Government, they were the lucky ones the less lucky were shot the less lucky again, tortured to death. Women, men children Civilians. (See Dictatorship Rules, Franco You-Tube.) The boredom of that State the apathy driven by fear to make people passive in their lives so they could only slump in misery frozen by fear I saw on the streets, repeatedly at the implied or direct threats Civil Guard: cowering eyes widening and clearly in disbelieving shock, still, from the civil War and its seemingly permanent dire effects..

  • Apple Sewer
    Apple Sewer 8 months ago

    I don't agree with the idea that because people didn't know the full consequences of what they were voting for, this justifies a second referendum, because the same could've been said had we remained in the EU. If things had gotten worse by remaining, the same argument could be stated; "The people weren't aware that this or that would happen by remaining, therefore a second referendum is justified".

  • Sarah Mcnally
    Sarah Mcnally 8 months ago

    There won't be a no deal because the EU politician's will run around like the little weasels they are at the last minute to sign a workable deal. The EU is a protectionist organisation that relys on blocking trade from outside the EU by tarrifs. That's gradual decline thinking. The UK has a real opportunity to have real free trade, too access markets that currently are too expensive due too tarriffs

  • Joon Park
    Joon Park 8 months ago

    Come and join us, like workaholic koreans. LoL
    Free choice and competition internationally haha

  • Rogan Bryan
    Rogan Bryan 8 months ago

    These are the sort of cretins we voted to rightly turn our backs on

  • Sconnie Panda
    Sconnie Panda 8 months ago

    THE REAL TRUTH HERE...I PROMISE YOU...IS THAT EVERYONE IN THE ROTHSCHILD ZIONIST OWNED EU...WANTS OUT. PEOPLE ARE INCREASINGLY WAKING UP TO WHATS REALLY HAPPENING HERE. JUST LOOK AT THE PATHETIC EXPLOITED CONDITION OF THE TOTALLY MIS NAMED 'UNITED KINGDOM.'

  • Robert Farnell
    Robert Farnell 8 months ago

    We have been sucker punched by traitor May, Send her to the Tower Right Now. We will be a Vassal State with no need for Politicians so they all need to resign now

  • Zouuu Bella
    Zouuu Bella 9 months ago

    She’s worst than May

  • Zouuu Bella
    Zouuu Bella 9 months ago

    What about us ? about culture ? about ..about ....stupid people talking only about economic ...

  • Vik Toly
    Vik Toly 9 months ago

    If Ireland and Scotland want to remain in the EU, why can't they just leave the UK? Or is the UKSSR dictating and robbing those countries their sovereignty? Maybe Ireland and Scotland should arrange a referendum wether or not to leave the UK or not.

  • M S
    M S 9 months ago

    I can’t stop laughing about the Torie. You wanted border control. The EU secures it land borders for decades with fences. Because politician like him want it. But if you are on the other side of the fence they should not do it?

  • Shaun Burns
    Shaun Burns 9 months ago

    You all sound so confident in your opinion that the UK is requesting special treatment or or something different to what had been agreed. The UK never signed up to the eu project. We joined the non political EEC. Since then year after year, more and more regulations and centralisation of laws are made in your Europe. If that’s what Europe wants then great, go for it. But it’s not something we ever agreed to. We’d like to control our own destiny, for better or worse.

  • ac3
    ac3 10 months ago

    The French politician ignores the fact France voted to leave the EU in its referendum - then the politicians of France had another referendum to get the right result - lol - French politicians spineless nothing’s changed -

  • Marcelo martin amaral
    Marcelo martin amaral 10 months ago

    BREXIT = United Ireland + Independent Scotland. As World Stocks Markets will Crash until 2019 , sell everything, Buy Gold and come to Enjoy Life in the Paradise of Búzios ( Rio de Janeiro - Brazil) with its sunny and wonderful Beaches ( buziosbeach.com)

  • Franz
    Franz 10 months ago

    It is ont about punishing anybody. If you want full access to the single market, you cannot have your own trade deals! It wold mean, that the UK lowers its tarrifs and goods are shipped through UK into the EU.

  • grip C
    grip C 10 months ago

    yipee boycott the kraut cars

  • James Howe
    James Howe 10 months ago

    The truth is that Brits do not want to live under a dictatorship , the Germans French Spanish and italians have all lived under dictators in recent times, because they haven't the brains or temprement to live in a true Democracy.

  • frank simba
    frank simba 10 months ago

    So you can make a deal with someone you are breaking up with ?

  • danni storm
    danni storm 10 months ago

    THE EU ARE EVIL! UN-DEMOCRATIC MOTHERFUCKERS WHO WANT TO RULE US. WE FOUGHT WARS FOR HUNDREDS OF YEARS WITH OUR NEIGHBOURS FOR OUR COUNTRY. NOT TO HAND IT AWAY ON HIGH TARIFFS, DESTROYED FISHING INDUSTRY , ILLEGAL IMMIGRATION . we must be out

  • Gerhard Olm
    Gerhard Olm 10 months ago

    These stupid British only now to realize what a brexit content.

  • Stanley Stewart
    Stanley Stewart 10 months ago

    I see a lot of negative comments regarding Brexit, this is what 17.4 million brits voted for , so let's see what happens because one thing I will say is that there won't be much if any fish on European tables , they will take their waters back & you french won't be able to throw rocks at a British fishing boat because you will be to far away, so you all better look for a new job as fishing won't pay lol ,

  • lundgsi 2
    lundgsi 2 10 months ago

    WE ARE OUT GET OVER IT YOU BUNCH OF CHILDREN LOL

  • Tina Patton
    Tina Patton 10 months ago

    The already Murdochized mass mind raped Brit mugs. Bought a BIG Crock o' Brex$hit from mi££ionaire spiv-thug frog-face Farage & Co Criminals laughing at them all the way with other UK/U$ BIG 'Bankster$' who CAUSED the '08 whole World financial crash, AND mid-East BIG mess MILLIONS dead including innocent kids. PLUS mass migrants crisis, AND Isis - ongoing unchecked!

  • rowdy roy
    rowdy roy 10 months ago

    i need friend who speak english

  • Barry Lacey
    Barry Lacey 10 months ago

    It’s a no deal the second you decided to leave
    It’s a deal for everyone else
    Scotland
    Ireland
    Whales
    The British empire is falling to its nees royal family who?

  • ionut2790
    ionut2790 10 months ago

    SUCK IT UK.

  • Tezok1878
    Tezok1878 10 months ago

    I was too young to vote in the 1970s. I was bound by that vote for virtually my entire life. I was denied a vote on Maastricht, on Lisbon. Those countries offered a vote were forced to vote again until they voted for what the EU wanted and then no follow on. I work in the bowels of a European project and see first hand what an absolute cluster it is. I believe in collaboration and I believe in teamwork; but when one team member thinks we are playing football and the other thinks it's hockey then all you achieve is getting people into a lather and no result. I voted leave not because I dislike Europeans; not because I am not a team player; not because I am afraid; not because I am insular. I voted leave because I believe that it is best for my family. Of course there will be a price to pay - a divorce is seldom without pain. For me, the pain will be worth it in the long run. Right now, like most people, I do not know what the future holds but I am willing to stride towards it. I am not afraid of the challenge; I relish it. Some people are looking for a detailed plan before they set off - they will be disappointed. We go in a general direction and we go together as the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland - the first union I think. If we can remain friends with the rest of Europe then I would like to. If the EU, which purports to look after the peoples of Europe, is so full of resentment and bile, as it appears right now, then I really am looking for a new friend.

  • Orhun zahiroğlu
    Orhun zahiroğlu 10 months ago

    Congragulations to british people. They will soon have a sovereign proper nation state. The Sun never sets on british empire !

  • Karl Hainer
    Karl Hainer 10 months ago

    A referendum is advisory - not mandatory. 52% - 48% is not even deliverable.

  • jano hora
    jano hora 10 months ago

    British are retards

  • kalaz
    kalaz 10 months ago

    Well to blame the EU for only giving 2 options makes it seem as if the EU forced UK to leave. But was it like that? I dont think so...
    The UK should be grateful that the EU even did proposals instead of just judging the UKs plans...

  • Roy Porter
    Roy Porter 10 months ago

    David Cameron, in his expensive handout which was delivered to the door of every household, made it clear that leaving the single market and the customs union would mean financial difficulties. The Leave Voters were not interested - The UK is their Country and they voted to get it back !

  • alex zannettou
    alex zannettou 10 months ago

    12:14 ''I don't actually think that fish understand national borders''? WHAT? WHAT? A fisherman can't just go and fish in another country's waters without a proper deal. That's the same thing with oil, minerals etc. What kind of nonsense is the media trying to promote? I get it, we don't want the UK leaving the EU because it will destabilize the whole system and Euro will plunge. But to show videos of some fishermen naval battle and blame it purely on the idea of UK leaving the EU is just ridiculous. Maybe UKIP is right, maybe the whole EU is a joke, maybe the EU is a dictatorship disguised as democracy.

  • George Frisky
    George Frisky 10 months ago

    Hello did U here yourself, u chose to leave that means u need to deliver it that,isn’t it?

  • Sir Curtis Seretse
    Sir Curtis Seretse 10 months ago

    That fight at sea was great. The French have learned nothing since Trafalgar.

  • Martin Carter
    Martin Carter 10 months ago

    The EU sell much more to the UK than the UK sells to the EU and the pressure is ‘ on ‘ for a free trade agreement

  • Martin Carter
    Martin Carter 10 months ago

    No deal the best deal with no more cash for the EU and immediate cuts in tariffs on food clothing & footwear

  • Steven Cray
    Steven Cray 10 months ago

    Out means OUT!

  • gabriel smith
    gabriel smith 10 months ago

    EU Slaves love bondage

  • SymonDymond
    SymonDymond 10 months ago +1

    No one wants a deal. Let us just get this done. On the board of 2 multinational countries. Spent almost 10 years restructuring European operations. Mainly reducing our Eurozone liabilities since the financial crisis. For the first time in a decade. I will get to go back to my own country as at least one plans to open 2 new fadcilities in Britain and list a formerly European centric subsidiary on the UK stock market. This can ONLY happen under a Canada or no deal scenario. As our one of our largest corporate clients put it. 'We deal with you for your competence, despite the EU, not because of it.' But I think that this is all irrelevant. The British people voted leave and in the main, couldnt care less. It would not be the first time British citizens have changed the course of Europe's history.

  • gregory boulineau
    gregory boulineau 10 months ago

    European parliament stands in strasbourg you idiot not in brussels

    • An Práta Draíochtúil
      An Práta Draíochtúil 10 months ago

      The European Parliament has three places of work - Luxembourg, Strasbourg and Brussels.

  • CharlieSpoons
    CharlieSpoons 10 months ago

    I think most brits can't wait to leave the EU. Sure we want to trade with our friends in Europe but we aren't interested in flags, armies, unelected leaders. The EU has already pumped €2.3trn into the block via QE, who's going to pay for that! The commonwealth has 53 countries and 2.4bn people. As leaders in finance and trade most in the know understand the opportunities open for global trade for the UK is hassle. The protectionist EU approach is same as Trump really. If you want to be part of this and are in the UK you are welcome, have a job here and have the skills we want and you'd be welcome. Otherwise get the skills and replay. The issues politically is king Macron and the EU council can't afford the UK to do better outside EU because other populist countries will want to follow suite (Italy, holland, Poland, Hungary to name just 4). Exciting times. We already know we have the Canada deal. Lets take that and show what we can do globally.

    • CharlieSpoons
      CharlieSpoons 10 months ago

      dude happy for you to educate me then rather than trolling. QE is where the central bank of a country loans the gov money in the form of bonds. interest on these bonds is paid to itself so can be ignored however the monies ARE included in total debt. case in point UK QE totals £400nb and no interest is really paid on this. The total UK Debt is £1.7 Trn and this include the 400nb QE.same applies for the Euro. Also happy for you to explain how a protectionist economy such that the EU has built is better then a open free trade global economy? Don't forget the UK has over 600 years of expertise in both international trade and international finance. It might help a little country like Latvia to be part of the EU but the reasons are much lower labour costs and untapped markets for the main EU countries as it might be for raising the standards of living for the population. Once that growth/demand is in balance focus movers onto the next developing nation to joint the EU machine. Anyhow like I said open to your self defined ecconomic wisdom mate.....

    • An Práta Draíochtúil
      An Práta Draíochtúil 10 months ago

      I don't think you understand how quantitative easing (or, judging by your comment, any economic principle) works.

    • CharlieSpoons
      CharlieSpoons 10 months ago

      Who on earth voted in the dim whits Theresa and Phillippe. The french attacked the brits who were legally fishing. They had a chance to resolve this in 2017 but the frenches decided to say no. It's incredible that folks believe this related to Brexit. It has NOTHING to do with it. FRANCE 24 and RT appear to be similar in bias reporting.

  • Mora Young
    Mora Young 11 months ago

    Catastrophic for EU because their perusable goods will rote in the lorries UK is a biggest market with lots of money; because of the British former colonies we can get cheaper and better products from else where. We can produce our own food like we overcame the Second World War. It will provide works for the British and it will be more jobs for the British, yes there would be hardship but, it is what we need to unite together and rebuild our GREAT GRAND BRITAIN, NO ESCATE OF WORK. 😁🙏🇬🇧❤️🌹😀🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿😁💕🥀🙏😄🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🥀😳😍💙😆😃😁🇧🇴💐😀😃😄😁😆look at Bolivia and Cuba doing much better, a success story that we need to emulate, BOLIVIA SUPERÁVIT SINCE EVO MORALES AND ALBARO TOOK OVER 12 years ego, we can have pharmaceuticals from Cuba much better medicine, a cut above the capitalist destructive pharmaceuticals industries. Changes are hard but they are necessary.

  • James dow
    James dow 11 months ago

    Cut the crap, it’s obvious all of the establishment is manoeuvring to create political and social anarchy to the point where they nominate “only a second referendum can resolve the deadlock and save the nation” ( ENGLAND 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿). That’s it folks the English require no remedial training in the art of political bastardisation, they own it in their own right.

  • Pabs Benedetto
    Pabs Benedetto 11 months ago +1

    The best deal possible is no deal

  • Sean Doran
    Sean Doran 11 months ago +1

    Dawn ..Scotland, mind your high words /letters ,cap S

  • Majster bez wąsa
    Majster bez wąsa 11 months ago

    I think that after 31 March 2019 europe will be flooded by a new wave of British illegal immigrants on pontoons

  • yanis584
    yanis584 11 months ago

    But after the 2nd referendum will there be the 3rd one?

  • fritz4345
    fritz4345 11 months ago +1

    Poor Brits. The former empire is going to be the next Cuba.

  • magtube90
    magtube90 11 months ago

    A divorce is rarely sweet.

  • Chad Leach
    Chad Leach 11 months ago

    "no deal" is just moving to WTO agreements and no huge payments to the EU.
    Then again a no deal situation that does not turn out to be Armageddon will just show remoaners as little more than a bunch of fear mongers.
    Arguably a wto agreement would be much worse for the eu than the uk since the either can be replaced with global trade.

  • X man
    X man 11 months ago

    The Eu nooo thanks.

  • bibi bibi
    bibi bibi 11 months ago

    the EU's biggest profit making industry is MONEY LAUNDERING! so why do any UK Policitians believe that the EU will want the UK to leave, They are making billions from UK's lenient policies-as the UK does not have a RULE OF LAW, it's governed by corruption-as you will all see on 15 October at 10.00am Holborn family court london-see you all there,I WOULD LIKE TO INVITE ALL, TO HOLBORN FAMILY COURT LONDON UK,how UK RULE OF LAW is manipulated,abused,misinterpreted-which includes their staff sending me 2 threatening letters to stop me from placing my claim

  • DP ie
    DP ie 11 months ago

    Let me state a few facts.
    1 Britain was always an uncomfortable member of the EU. Many historical, legal and ideological reasons to why it did not fit in very well.
    2. Ordinary middle class people have s suffered from too much cheap labor and migrants coming in push wages down and increasing cost of housing, health care and public services. Business owners may have benefited but ordinary low income workers have suffered.
    3. Many people in the EU and especially many British people dont like the centralized politics of Brussels where national independence is hollowed out by non-elected EU eurocrats.
    4. 2015 migration crisis was a major failure on the behalf of the EU. It clearly demonstrated that the EU is unable to control and protect its borders.
    5. EU has shown great flexibility when it comes to many important rules before....look at Greece, the Euro budget limits and debt to GDP, bank bail outs in Italy, Dublin and Schengen agreement during the 2015 migration crisis, German Diesel scandal, flexible agreement with Switzerland and Norway....the list goes on. It is clearly in both Britain and the EUs interest to find a flexible agreement-despite EUs current stance that they want to make an example of Britain leaving.
    6. Asking for yet another referendum until the people vote the correct way is simply insulting and non-democratic. It has already been done in the Netherlands, Ireland, Denmark etc. it is finally time to show that the people decide-not the EU politicians.
    7. Switzerland (where I live) and Norway are both doing exceptionally well outside of the EU. So can Britain.

    • 2Crassus Crassus
      2Crassus Crassus 11 months ago

      DP ie: " If Switzerland can, surely UK can as well. As long as EU is sensible."
      --Suppose there'll be a No Deal-Brexit --which is very likely-- and the UK (at least England) leaves the EU on March 29th, 2019.
      From then on, it is regarded by the 27-EU as a `third country´(tariffs), for which any EU Agreements are of no relevance anymore, i.e. the UK's international trading was subject to WTO rules(!)...(main rule: If a country makes trade concessions to another country, these concessions must be applied to all signatory states [most favored nation clause]).
      To regulate its future WTO status, the UK will then have to submit its own new commitment lists to the WTO listing its market access commitments. This requires the approval of all 164(!) WTO members... Wow!
      Whether and to what extent a trade agreement similar to that between the EU and Switzerland or Norway is possible will crucially depend on `how flexible´ the UK will be --for example, Switzerland as well as Norway strictly meet the "four fundamental freedoms of the European internal market"...
      The contractual status of Switzerland or Norway vs. the EU is also subject to a number of other conditions (easy to look up via google), which are for the UK --or what will be left after Brexit-- NOT acceptable from today's point of view! THAT's why I replied "NO"...

    • DP ie
      DP ie 11 months ago

      @2Crassus Crassus why not? If Switzerland can, surely UK can as well. As long as EU is sensible.

    • 2Crassus Crassus
      2Crassus Crassus 11 months ago

      DP ie: "Switzerland (where I live) and Norway are both doing exceptionally well outside of the EU. So can Britain." --NO, Britain cannot . As of April 2019, all of you will have to make this experience --learning the hard way, so to speak...

  • Kayz Photography
    Kayz Photography 11 months ago

    UK wants to eat the cake and have it too.

  • Donald Harvey
    Donald Harvey 11 months ago

    We are still willing to supply European with fish we just aren't selling out our Fisher men or our sea