Why is Ukraine the West's Fault? Featuring John Mearsheimer

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  • Published on Sep 24, 2015
  • UnCommon Core: The Causes and Consequences of the Ukraine Crisis
    John J. Mearsheimer, the R. Wendell Harrison Distinguished Service Professor in Political Science and Co-director of the Program on International Security Policy at the University of Chicago, assesses the causes of the present Ukraine crisis, the best way to end it, and its consequences for all of the main actors. A key assumption is that in order to come up with the optimum plan for ending the crisis, it is essential to know what caused the crisis. Regarding the all-important question of causes, the key issue is whether Russia or the West bears primary responsibility.
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Comments • 15 057

  • Alaide Gio Mendes
    Alaide Gio Mendes 5 years ago +14457

    Amazing explanation........simple and clear.

    • Repdo Derpo
      Repdo Derpo 3 months ago

      haha as simple as european politics get anyway

    • Gunner Gunnhilt
      Gunner Gunnhilt 3 months ago +1

      And totally not connected to reality.

    • Troller
      Troller 3 months ago +1

      @AK4 lmao, NATO expanded, it is a fact. And first act of Russia, that you might consider as aggression, started in 2008 (even then it is a debatable topic, which I will not talk about), long after NATO expanded. Before that Russia played by the rules, so please, stop with this populist crap.

  • Pete F.
    Pete F. 3 months ago +11493

    I would never have watched this video when it first came out, but now that events are getting serious, I am so thankful I found this because now it makes sense why things are happening the way they are, and where we are headed, and it scares me because I feel there's nothing I personally can do about it.

    • Pete F.
      Pete F. 3 months ago +13

      @Ant Pictures I see, so the 3,000 troops is just to put on a pretty show. Now, I have always assumed Russia is very powerful, and that if we got in a full fledged war with them, that we would take collateral damage. However, I never would have though it would lead to our complete destruction. Only reason I think that is that even though we have nukes, and they have nukes, I always thought our military force was still an order of magnitude more powerful than theirs, so we could fend them off, even if they got away with taking out a city here, and a city there in our homeland. I have always thought of our weapons as being more technologically advanced, even though I am sure the Russians might not be too far behind. We've got to at least have a slight advantage there too? Or maybe you are right, they could devastate the whole country, but then their entire country would also be wiped out by us, so I don't know what the point of that would be because everyone loses. So maybe that's why we will never see a full scale attack of USA vs Russia. Hopefully I am gone before that happens, because I don't want to be around to see it.
      Also, Russia is HUGE they have a lot of land, and I feel like if they eventually took the entire Ukraine, the only reason they would do that, is so that Putin could say "see, I told you I would do it." Not because they truly give a crap about the Ukraine itself. It would be all about pride and power.

    • Ant Pictures
      Ant Pictures 3 months ago +17

      @Pete F. as you can see Swedish Fish didn't really answered your question. Throwing slogans around doesn't explain how 3000 US troops, stationed outside of Ukraine is going to help if Russia invades Ukraine.
      It is already have been overwhelmingly stated by US that US troops are not going to fight in Ukraine. So why send troops? Well first of all the had to do something to show their allies their support. Stationing a force which hardly could do anything to Russian army surely is not meant to engage Russians. US knows Russia is not attacking NATO. These troops are there to recon and protect US bases firmost. In case of Russian invasion they will swiftly retreat. And if Russia is not going to attack (which they said they are not going to do, and US actually expects them not to), then US will have a good pretext in media to say: "you see? Russia didn't attacked because we sent reinforcements to NATO allies. We held out part of the deal. Russian won't risk a war with US.
      The sad truth is that even if those 3000 souls were to die there in Europe, US would still not fight Russia because of that. Fighting a full fledged war with Russia would pose tremendous danger, which could lead to complete destruction of US. They won't risk that.

    • Sleeping Insomiac
      Sleeping Insomiac 3 months ago +21

      @Random Name
      So your point is that since everybody telling about North Korea *could* be lying, wer should treat them as if they *are* lying?
      Wow, your debating skills are... astonishing!

  • Crazy Guy
    Crazy Guy 4 months ago +7253

    I am Ukrainian myself and it is truly sad of how my country struggles to clean itself up. Just leave it alone. we need time to build up.

    • Russ White
      Russ White 4 months ago +2020

      Tell Biden to back off no one wants war

  • Marcin Gajda
    Marcin Gajda 3 months ago +13299

    Truly American approach. Talking about "making" other countries into something without considering their interests and opinions.

    • Askar Kalykov
      Askar Kalykov 3 months ago +1847

      Yet somehow they don't understand why would others be unhappy about it?

  • Stuart Platt
    Stuart Platt 3 months ago +3970

    Love this speech and thank god he has the freedom to speak openly and sometimes even negatively about his own country. He definitely changed my mind about this conflict.

    • I dunno
      I dunno 3 months ago +273

      @Matthew Hiatt Democrats
      Most of people on twitter
      most people on reddit

    • Matthew Hiatt
      Matthew Hiatt 3 months ago +38

      @I dunno who wants to do that?

  • Алексей Косарчук
    Алексей Косарчук 4 months ago +18070

    It is very interesting to watch in 2022, knowing how events played out.

    • Johnny Looi
      Johnny Looi 3 months ago +42

      @Алексей Косарчук “i’d rather prefer everybody live as friends” ironic - this is the cornerstone of liberal international relations theory of which the West claims to be a champion, but they seemed to never consider Mearsheimer’s option that Ukraine be left alone as a neutral state utterly uninvolved with the US-Russia competition. Conventional liberal doctrine would suggest that this would be the best option to maximize international cooperation especially since China is becoming a threat and Russia was not too friendly towards China, but NATO expansionist tendencies have seemed to push Russia into Chinese arms, and heightened tensions where unnecessary. I admittedly do not know anything about domestic Ukrainian politics, but based off my somewhat nascent understanding of IR and security studies, this conflict seems to just have been a result of misperception - that of the West and NATO in thinking that increasing their soft and hard influence in Ukraine wouldn’t be that big of a deal in Putin’s government. Or maybe this is an issue of neo-imperialism in America trying to make Ukraine a pro-American state. Whatever the reason, I found Mearsheimer’s presentation very convincing, and Western actions in line with the historical trend of American neoimperialism, and I found your line about “dick fights between big men in power” a 100% accurate description of this conflict.

    • ANDRE MOREIRA
      ANDRE MOREIRA 3 months ago +3

      ​@James Cache He hold a PhD -- Putin Honoris Doctor

    • Elena Drachyovs
      Elena Drachyovs 3 months ago +20

      @Alejandro Kato dont compare please USA with any other Europenian or Asian state. USA is mix of everything that doesnt have any spesific culture or language. Even Africab culture is richer than USA's. And none is going to separate NY from Texas or anything like that.

    • mystic city
      mystic city 3 months ago

      @James Cache how so?

  • Elle Ren
    Elle Ren 3 months ago +3523

    Thank you, excellent presentation! I am watching this video on February 5, 2022, 8 years after the fact.
    The history and present conditions, all make sense of what is happening in Ukraine, Russia, Europe and the United States. In addition, John made a statement that he gave China 10 to 15 years before we would say problems he’s right on target

    • kean chin
      kean chin 3 months ago +359

      Just watching this now too. It is so sad that the US leaders are still doing what will lead to suffering in Ukraine for their own benefit. Very good presentation. Logical, sensible and very helpful.

  • the deeliciousplum
    the deeliciousplum 3 months ago +2483

    Recently stumbled upon this talk. Prof John J. Mearsheimer's thoughts on Ukraine, on the West, and on the East are as relevant now as they were when this talk was given. A valuable and enlightening talk. Thank you for sharing this.

  • George P
    George P 3 months ago +2985

    I wasn't watching but listened with my headphones while working around the house. When I saw it was the article was published in 2015 I couldn't believe it. I had the feeling it was posted if not yesterday, then not more a month ago. This man is a genius! Period.

    • According to the Sokovian
      According to the Sokovian 3 months ago +144

      @Tigran Oganesian not only this but the US supports the political repression of all pro Russian candidates in Ukraine. Zelensky barely won ahead of the pro Russian opposition and then immediately froze all the political and personal assets of the opposition. And the US supports this fascist action

    • According to the Sokovian
      According to the Sokovian 3 months ago +64

      @Matt Norris bag it you sock puppet

    • According to the Sokovian
      According to the Sokovian 3 months ago +62

      It's just logic but in the world we live in lacks it so entirely that it makes simple men that state facts seem like geniuses

  • Kathleen Wade
    Kathleen Wade 3 months ago +2896

    I so wish this man had more influence on the American government. This was very worth watching. He is an exceptionally talented lecturer.

    • Ariste Arvanitidis
      Ariste Arvanitidis 3 months ago +96

      The truth is always refreshing.

    • Nik Jaric
      Nik Jaric 3 months ago +256

      politics is about wealthy ruling the poor educated men hardly get that job

  • P J
    P J Month ago +200

    I like his talk a lot, and he explained the psychology fairly well of both western EU countries and the Russia from a historical point of view that traced back to WW2. Ukraine people certainly has a lot of sad memory about WW2. This is really a messy situation now.

  • oceanbnd
    oceanbnd 3 months ago +702

    Very interesting lecture. I’ve never heard of John Mearsheimer before this. Sounds like a wise man here. I wonder if he’d still be saying these same things now? I’d like to hear him now. He’s only 74 and I’m sure still with it enough for at least a discussion. Love to hear from him now.

    • Artem Novikov
      Artem Novikov 3 months ago +12

      @Peter Wuwei In May 2014 P. Poroshenko won the presidential elections in first tour, it means that he got more than 50% among all candidates (), the second place was only at 13%. How he was 'installed' if he literally won in the landslide?

    • Artem Novikov
      Artem Novikov 3 months ago +14

      @Peter Wuwei Are you aware that there were already 2 president elections and 2 parliament elections, and there is literally nobody in power in Ukraine today, who was in power in spring of 2014? Current government of Ukraine is the government based on elections of 2019.

    • Andres Alva
      Andres Alva 3 months ago +12

      @Peter Wuwei I don't believe that and I hope you don't either. I guess we can agree on that point and leave it there. My final OPINION is that Ukraine and its people should decide on its own destiny and no one else.

    • Peter Wuwei
      Peter Wuwei 3 months ago +12

      @Andres Alva everyone is posting their OPINIONS on youtube. The fallacy is believing yours is somehow worth more than any others.

  • Sik Skillz
    Sik Skillz 3 months ago +378

    this professor is amazing, not only calling it as it is, but providing the excellent points, and showing or explaining how it’s relevant, and the right thing that should have been done. you get everything from this lecture. it’s a sign of a good teacher.

  • Ann Mowatt
    Ann Mowatt 3 months ago +488

    Brilliant talk. Wonderful to hear someone not only speaking sense but doing it so clearly. Thank you.

    • Phat Baby
      Phat Baby 3 months ago +8

      Agreed. Yet, I couldn't discern whether he was serious or sarcastic when he stated several times that the US goal was to bring democracy and Capitalism to the world. Democracy and Capitalism are almost polar opposites. Tongue in cheek maybe?

  • William Nhamo
    William Nhamo 3 months ago +860

    'Conventional wisdom' is the easiest way to obtain information and it surely misleads. One really needs to understand issues on a fundamental level before simply believing 'conventional wisdom' Great lecture Prof John J. Mearsheimer!

    • Jean-Pierre De Vent
      Jean-Pierre De Vent 3 months ago +56

      I am now a fan. It's refreshing that he is American and yet not like Chomsky, or even Sanders, a typical lefty. He seems more the reasonable center, which today probably has not much influence and appears left in the US.

  • A. Michael Uhlmann
    A. Michael Uhlmann 3 months ago +2071

    Not only where his predictions about Ukraine right on the spot (six years ago), but in some extra remarks, he mentioned that it would be really bad if Russia and China would cooperate again - and yes these two nations found each other again, Russia helping China advancing it's Belt & Road policy.

    • Beatsbydanzy
      Beatsbydanzy 3 months ago +269

      @Aaron Aarons agreed

    • Aaron Aarons
      Aaron Aarons 3 months ago +825

      I hope that Russia, China and other countries can unite against Western imperialism.

  • Kathi Alfsen
    Kathi Alfsen 3 months ago +889

    I just came across this prescient video from 6 and 1/2 years ago. It is amazing that we're still having the same conversation and still making the same mistakes. Thank you Professor Mearsheimer. United States is a wonderful country, but we surely suck at trying to export liberal democracy and capitalism.

    • joe k
      joe k 3 months ago +70

      You seem to have exported also some well funded military dictatorships. In fact one of them was in the country that actually invented Democracy. 1967-1974 look it up.

    • Peter Codner
      Peter Codner 3 months ago +48

      You will have no trouble with exporting it as you put it if there is a demand for it at a given price, but you are referring to religions, for what-you-call "capitalism" is undoubtedly a religion of sorts, while " liberal democracy" is, for all practical purposes is almost as meaningless as " capitalism"

    • Mireya Jones
      Mireya Jones 3 months ago +143

      No one is trying to "export" anything. They are focused on Hunger Games style exploitation of the periphery.

  • Lee Lee
    Lee Lee 4 months ago +380

    What an absolutely insightful and fascinating video. Very relevant to the current crisis in Ukraine

  • Robert Finn
    Robert Finn 3 months ago +756

    Prophetic! Thank you so much for such a clear, informative and insightful talk. I learnt a lot from it.

  • Shoumojit Banerjee
    Shoumojit Banerjee 3 months ago +730

    An effortlessly brilliant exposition by the Dean of International Relations! Mr. Mearsheimer, whose 'Tragedy of Great Power Politics' and the 'Israel Lobby and US Foreign Policy' are masterworks (and must-reads), is one of the splendidly provocative IR theorists at work, whose books force you to think hard.

    • Blood Farts
      Blood Farts 3 months ago +70

      So glad to find another Indian in these comments 🙋🏻, who is also aware about the power of Israel in the middle east, and the Israel lobby in US to sway the policies. Thanks for the recommendations.

  • busyrand
    busyrand 3 months ago +624

    This was a joy to watch. This professor is a great presenter.

  • Alex G
    Alex G 3 months ago +359

    Excellent comprehensive analysis and Q&A session. The only parameter missing is the dollar hegemony vs. the search for an alternative currency supported by China, Russia and other states, who are fed up with the dollar endless printing detached from economic fundamentals, precious metals bashing, and US unilateral economy sanctions. Currencies wars is a big part of the geo-strategic rivalry today.

    • Lidia Wolanskyj
      Lidia Wolanskyj 3 months ago +11

      @David Burman Russia's behavior was predictable by all in 2015 and still is. it's the blame part of the equation that is wrong. Let's say a guy robs your house. You had a security system on but the thief disarmed it. Are you to blame for the theft? Really? We can all see that, in fact, the more the West and NATO has tried to accommodate Russia (e.e., France and Germany in 2008, but not the US), the more aggressive it has become. Now that the response has been considerably more robiust (not just 'deep concern' as in 2014), Putin is being more cautious. Appeals from academics and former officers, instead of being hushed, are being published. Seems like a convenient face-saving device when he does decide to back down. But for Ukraine, the only long-term security answer is membership in NATO. Whatever he may say (and he has threatened nuclear attacks remarkably frequently, including against Ukraine), Putin is not so far gone that he doesn't see the absurdly self-defeating reality of such an attack. Russia shouldn't be on the Security Council for that alone.

    • David Burman
      David Burman 3 months ago +29

      @Lidia Wolanskyj "rightfully dropped" - Interesting comment considering the accuracy of his analysis from the perspective of the present situation

    • Lidia Wolanskyj
      Lidia Wolanskyj 3 months ago +1

      @Gary Lake No offense taken. But that's your opinion of his statement, not mine.

    • Sleeping Insomiac
      Sleeping Insomiac 3 months ago +8

      Comparing a sovereign country joining a defensive pact with installing nukes at the border doesn't sound excellent, or comprehensive to me...

  • Venom
    Venom 3 months ago +168

    We need more people like this man.

    • Nu Pagadii
      Nu Pagadii 3 months ago +9

      Well, Well, Well,,,, WHAT A BS....
      An Ethnicity is wrong objective factor, beside it is. Stalin when conquered half Europe in 1945 (with help of Western powers) changed strategic/ethnic/countries map of Central Europe.
      Best examples are Latvia. Lithuania and Estonia, where he deported natives and imported Russians as "natives". The most clear of all of them is Kaliningrad/Królewiec/Konigsberg...
      This argument is missed TOTALLY. It is good to know it, however is HISTORICLY/Ethnically INCORRECT - unless the prof. is RUSSIAN INFLUENCE AGENT.....
      Similar happened in Ukraine at the time of Great Hunger 1932/33 when East region of Ukraine was DEPOPULATED of NATIVE UKRAINIANS where the map shows by the professor.
      The "WAR" in UKRAINE started way before 2014, when President Viktor A. Yushchenko was unsuccessfully assassinated, by POISONING him in 2004 with dioxin (TCDD).
      Than were political influences inside of Ukraine via Russian intelligence. Inside conflict between Yushchenko and Timoshenko. Gas conflict with Russia at the time of Timoshenko PM.
      NATO expansion is due to AGRESSIVE RUSSIA actions: Wars in Caucasus countries and destabilization of this region, most notable are two wars in Chechnya (I 1994-96 and II 1999-2009), Georgia war in 2008 (WRONG THESIS of war reasoning by the professor - TRUE was Poland, Ukraine, Georgia and Azerbaijan wanted to secure gas supply AWAY from RUSSIA) , Assassination of Polish President and 95 other hi ranking officials in 2010 in Smolensk; Cyber attacks in: Estonia 2007, Latvia 2008, Lithuania 2016; East Ukraine (Donbas region) war with annexation of Crimea in 2014. V Column in Ukraine Army (high ranking officers sold-out quietly Ukrainian army supplies and during annexation of Crimea prolonged decision making for younger eager to defend officers.
      Ukraine is WEST oriented and naturally like other central Europe countries see Russia AGRESSION and wants to stop it and get in to NATO eventually as the PROTECTOR of UKRAINE INDEPENDANCE/FREEDOM. Ukraine is West oriented and their future is with EU economically.
      Maydan deaths are because of pro Russian president Yanukovich who gave such a order and later of he flea to Russia.... Russia PROPAGANDA - "Armed Maydan Fascists'", they armed themselves with hunting riffles after pro Russian Yanukovich gave the order to shoot. Protesters has been defending themselves - WHAT A BS - the prof. is RUSSIAN INFLUENCE AGENT.....
      Ukraine is about 5% world producer, has nuclear complex knowledge together with advanced way of it deployment, has Ivachenko-Progress/Motor-Sich company, Antonov company, ENORMOUS GAS Deposits in CRIMEA (Gas deposits compared to Syria, Valodia [Vladimir Putin], was so in hurry for it that forget about Crimea WATER SUPPLY in 2014) and WAY, WAY, MORE....
      Valodia needs Ukraine from it's own resources and when it would become part of EU it will accelerate fast, that later on Russians will see advanced Ukraine vs Russia at way back/down and would realize leadership incompetency. Valodia knows it and is acting ahead,,,,

      Ukraine interests: Russia, China, USA and Israel (President Vlodomyr Zelenski is Jewish).
      The WAR in UKRAINE is presented as a FRGMENT by the professor, because the WHOLE PICTURE is to PUT USA OUT OF EUROPE....
      Professor John J. Mearsheimer is "RUSSIAN INFLUENCE AGENT" same like in the past economy prof. Oscar Lange (call name: FRIEND) also teaching at the University of Chicago......

  • exploiteddna
    exploiteddna 3 months ago +409

    good lecture with some good points, and certainly provides context for current events. At the same time, it would be interesting to hear a similar lecture from the majority of academics who dont agree with this guy (as he noted in the first half of the talk, he is in the minority with his opinions here)

    • that broad
      that broad 3 months ago +12

      Hmm. Those were the facts. And with him having what seems to be a clear insight into all that went on and where everybody stands, I reckon I’d actually like to hear from him again on this topic. See where he thinks this train will hit while our driver is slowly imploding. Creating havoc over there because of trouble at home, an older person’s quick temper, and the fact that the Dems seem to have chosen Putin as their big bad, are the aggravating factors just here in the states. Yes, I wish there were a way to reach out and ask!! (And just to cover it so I don’t get a dog pile, the GOP has put Xi in the Darth suit. In the scheme of things though, China Rising is an issue. For another time.

    • Shiny Priest
      Shiny Priest 3 months ago +51

      @XXX XXX what about cuba then. The weak don't have choosing power in the real world

  • D S
    D S 3 months ago +538

    My take away from this (about 40 minutes in while writing this) is that this was always going to happen, and was a matter of "when", not "if". Dire times ahead for this region.

    • Wicked Guppy
      Wicked Guppy 3 months ago

      @GameNerdz That's a big subject which you should learn something about.

  • Simon Oxley
    Simon Oxley 3 months ago +244

    What a super presentation and how utterly depressing that most of Professor Mearsheimer’s predictions have come true.

  • Eamon Brennan
    Eamon Brennan 4 months ago +3265

    It's extraordinary how (at the time of the gulf war) it was repeatedly stated that this conflict was NOT ABOUT OIL. But 20 years later an academic can casually drop the fact that it was all about oil into a lecture.

    • Ferragus
      Ferragus 3 months ago +4

      @Eamon Brennan im not sure there are exactly 12 currently but every source i've looked at doesn't mention there being more than that, feel free to share yours tho
      Thing is you don't take the weight of nationalism in the iraqi population into account, a force any new government's gonna have to deal with and the same goes for the us
      im not saying a complete withdrawal of western forces is likely in the coming months thats for sure, we're gonna have to wait for the situation to stabilize at first, but they're not gonna be able to maintain bases permanently, the US doesnt have as much power as u may think

    • Eamon Brennan
      Eamon Brennan 3 months ago +3

      @Ferragus If you think that there are 12 US bases in Iraq you are seriously misinformed. Even when all of the forward bases disappear over the next few years there will remain at least half a dozen (like in Saudi Arabia) and they won't be going anywhere irrespective of who is in government.

    • Ferragus
      Ferragus 3 months ago

      @Eamon Brennan 12 at the moment and that will probably go down to zero if the sadrists come to power once they get their heads out their asses
      you are tho, the US were only able to pull that kinda shit in the 90s and 2000s, the current administration doesn't have the political capital nor the will to intervene directly in iraqi internal affairs, at least with the same intensity as before
      i rly insist, al kadhimi may be closer to the us than iran but he's not simply serving their interests

    • Matt Norris
      Matt Norris 3 months ago +2

      You could casually drop that fact at McDonald's in 1991. Everyone knew it lmao

    • Joseph Jones
      Joseph Jones 3 months ago

      @nicolas vega-frey That's not true at all. The majority of the contracts for them went to European companies (they're "state owned"). The money was spread around.

  • Frjimomi
    Frjimomi 3 months ago +83

    Absolutely brilliant diagnosis, prognosis and antidote. Every point on Russia (and China) is spot on. Unfortunately, Ukraine will not achieve absolute freedom in some of decisions in certain areas, considering the issues of Russia's serious interests and the inability of the West to effectively impose its will, but they will have ample sovereignty to govern and build up a strong and prosperous country that can be a model go-between Russia and the West. Besides, to take the chance to provoke the two greatest nuclear powers to the ultimate folly of a zero-sum contest could really prove a massive and disastrous loss to everyone. Putin and the Chinese have made it abundantly clear that this could become a lose-lose nuclear game with horrific consequences. And, for what?

  • CainIwakura Ch. カイン岩倉

    Crazy to think this lecture was 6 year ago and it's accurate.

    • Sabrina Tschäß
      Sabrina Tschäß 3 months ago +45

      @ptr mjsur They remove democratically elected leaders everywhere they go. Happened in Ukraine (in 2014 I think). The guy who was replaced was opposed to conflict in Russia. Funny how that works.

    • ptr mjstr
      ptr mjstr 3 months ago +68

      you guys realy bealive nato is promoting democracy??

  • Marc Goudreau
    Marc Goudreau 3 months ago +51

    As long as military strength remains the determining factor for the survival and prosperity of great nations, issues of accountability and responsibility for war are not important factors. Societies have survived the blood soaked consequences of such organizational dynamics for centuries but the nuclear age offers no such guarantees, something we've yet to learn.

    • Regular normie
      Regular normie 3 months ago +5

      but the nuclear age offers no such guarantees, something we've yet to learn
      oh but we have and america dropped two of them and continually threatens to use them to this day

  • Dana Ysol
    Dana Ysol 3 months ago +63

    Thank you so much for sharing this lecture.

  • Maot Nah
    Maot Nah 4 months ago +70

    Well explained and Brilliant professor and we know now what's really going on to the world.

  • Andres Pope
    Andres Pope 3 months ago +159

    Great lecture, our political leaders should watch and listen

  • Cook! with Cel
    Cook! with Cel 3 months ago +475

    wish i knew about this at that time period but its never to late to learn . Now i have a better understanding about that situation. I enjoyed this presentation

  • Pravda
    Pravda 3 months ago +772

    12:48 Tremendous lecture, and particularly relevant given recent events, but it really has to be said whenever this conversation is being had- if for no other reason than in the interest of pursuing the truth of the matter- that America's geo-political strategies and rationale have absolutely nothing whatsoever to do with the proliferation of democracy. If they can manage to cobble together an election with their boys in one corner and controlled opposition of some sort in the other, fine- it's good press after all and can serve as further justification for expansion down the road- but that isn't the principal motive. What they are installing are not democracies, but allies. Whether those allies take the form of liberal democrats or an outright, unapologetic military dictatorship is immaterial. Furthermore wether or not the people being overthrown arrived at their position democratically is of equal unimportance.They want places to extract vast quantities of wealth, strictly on their terms, with no fight back of any kind. It's truly that simple. Any attempt to obfuscate that basic truth only serves to muddy the water and allows for broad support of a fundamentally imperialistic foreign policy under the mistaken impression that they are acting in service of the liberation of mankind from the thralls of despotism.

    • Pravda
      Pravda 3 months ago +39

      @Test Account Yeah the bit about the "need for Russia on Syria, Iran and China" isn't great either. The whole thing started to fall apart more and more the longer he went on tbh. Definitely praised the lecture prematurely. He was correct insofar as he's right that the West fomented the current crisis in Ukraine, and his observations about the strategic significance of Ukraine were pretty good, but that's about it. Beyond that it pretty quickly descends into the usual unhinged positions on America's perceived geo-political role

    • Test Account
      Test Account 3 months ago +30

      This is exactly my thoughts while watching that part. I'm only on 25th minute of this video, but a part about "installing democracy" was the most disturbing to watch so far. The second disturbing part was a simplistic approach to explaining what actions in western Ukraine led to uprisings in eastern Ukraine.

    • Matt Norris
      Matt Norris 3 months ago +15

      23:10
      No, this lecture sucks.

    • Maya Tara
      Maya Tara 3 months ago +57

      I was itchty about that part too, but he later does explain it is not about democracy at all, but that is just the way it is sold.

  • Garrus Vakarian
    Garrus Vakarian 4 months ago +1590

    I do love his explanation of core strategic interests versus economic interests, and of the balance of resolve. As this guy says "we don't actually care that much about Ukraine, but the Russians really care".

    • Garrus Vakarian
      Garrus Vakarian 3 months ago +5

      @Dimi Chernikov We hang out at the black sea, I see a lot of western russians, not any asian ones.

    • Garrus Vakarian
      Garrus Vakarian 3 months ago +7

      @Dimi Chernikov Seriously wonder if you are Russian or not. You know how similar Bulgarian and Russian are as languages right? Same with all the other European languages like Belarussian and Ukrainian but sure, keep on going "we're Asian" for some reason.

    • Dimi Chernikov
      Dimi Chernikov 3 months ago +11

      @Garrus Vakarian why change the subject to Bulgaria I'm specifically stating Russia, Russia is not a Western country or culture period, get it straight.

    • Garrus Vakarian
      Garrus Vakarian 3 months ago +2

      @Dimi Chernikov you have resorted to saying "our words have a different origin" lol... Is Bulgaria a Western or Asian country?

    • Dimi Chernikov
      Dimi Chernikov 3 months ago +14

      Russian culture is no where like “western culture” about 70 % Asian, Mongolia, Tatar, Turkic, many words we use a is Asiatic.
      Go do your research.

  • John Snitus
    John Snitus 3 months ago +18

    Fascinating talk. Excited to learn more from Mearsheimer, can't believe I'm just hearing about him. Passionate man. Curious about his personal political views

  • Ron MacKinnon
    Ron MacKinnon 3 months ago +121

    Thoughtful and intelligent as he is, I'm surprised Professor Mearsheimer is so naive as to take US democracy-promotion rhetoric at face value. Orientation to US and western economic interests is always the goal, and if actual democracy ever threatened to get in the way of that, it would be dealt with. Creating the appearance of democracy in the minds of US and international audiences is what's really involved, and groups like the NED are well-practiced at it.

    • D Dehggial
      D Dehggial 3 months ago +39

      I don't think he's naive but he probably too has a hand that he can't bite.

  • MrFischvogel
    MrFischvogel 3 months ago +89

    Thank you very much, Sir, for this clear and very convincing argument against the majority opinion ! =)

  • Kerry Summers
    Kerry Summers 3 months ago +153

    I really enjoyed watching this. Logic and history come to a clear understanding of what is going on.

    • nosuchthing8
      nosuchthing8 3 months ago

      @Dodgson, we've got Dodgson here! no one in America bows before putin

    • Sleeping Insomiac
      Sleeping Insomiac 3 months ago +2

      @48pluto
      Actually, I am old enough to remember the Soviet Union.
      But you being a 13yo Putin fanboy explains a lot.
      Good luck growing up...

  • toshkris
    toshkris 4 months ago +1052

    If you review lectures by other eminents, one frequently encounters contradictions after a period of say 5 years. But this Professor is consistent in his remarks with regards to events unfolding. I find him to be relatively intellectually honest as well, a rare trait in these times.

    • John Rider
      John Rider 3 months ago +6

      @Oliver Lorenzo Crimea was always Russian before the Americans took it. They just took it back. Like America did with Texas

    • Моя Лепта
      Моя Лепта 3 months ago +7

      @Oliver Lorenzo Modern Ukraine is a puzzle assembled from territorial gifts made by Russian tsars, Lenin, Stalin and Khrushchev. The modern borders of Ukraine are the product of Soviet national-state construction carried out under the leadership of the Bolshevik Party. Until 1917, the term "Ukrainian people" was not in any encyclopedia, throughout the territory of Russia - Great, Small and White - Russians lived, having their own territorial, linguistic and everyday features. 1) In 1654, Tsar Alexei Mikhailovich of Moscow allowed Hetman Bogdan Khmelnitsky and his Cossacks to become part of Russia. Now these lands make up two incomplete regions of Ukraine. 2) On April 8, 1783, Crimea came under the jurisdiction of the Russian Empire as a result of Russia's victory over the Turks in the Russo-Turkish war. 3) 1922 - Lenin was still alive, the territory of the Russian Donbass and Novorossiysk province with the city of Kharkov were transferred to Ukraine. We are talking about the Donetsk-Krivoy Rog basin and the northern Black Sea region. 4) 1939 - most of Western Ukraine became part of the Ukrainian SSR. ( Stalin ) 5) 1940, the northern part of Bukovina was transferred to the Soviet Union and became the Chernivtsi region of Ukraine. ( Stalin ) 6) According to the Soviet-Czechoslovak agreement of June 29, 1945, Transcarpathia became part of the Ukrainian SSR. Thus, the modern border of Ukraine with Slovakia and Hungary was established. By the way, after the war, the city of Lviv returned to Ukraine thanks to Stalin. 7) In 1954, Khrushchev took Crimea from Russia (Russian Soviet Socialist Republic) and gave it to Ukraine (Ukrainian Soviet Socialist Republic) . Gives the peninsula without a referendum, without the consent of the inhabitants of Crimea. That's how Crimea suddenly became Ukrainian.

    • Ljilja Mitrović
      Ljilja Mitrović 3 months ago

      @Artem Bilous And what would be the flight of a plane above the war zone, and the attack illegal. Why was not any plane shot down outside the war zone. Well, not because they did not cause any suspicion because they are out of the zone of action. You shot down any plane in western Ukraine, and the war is being fought in eastern Ukraine. Of course not.

    • Artem Bilous
      Artem Bilous 3 months ago +1

      @Ljilja Mitrović what does it have to do with the illegal attack? Using Russian military equipment

  • Adebagbo joshua
    Adebagbo joshua 3 months ago +130

    Great lecture, the wisdom and relevancy after 6 years is frightening though. Now I understand Germany not even allowing military aids to fly in her airspace to Ukraine. China/Taiwan debacle, Iran, Afghan and Syria positions now makes sense.

  • John L
    John L 3 months ago +108

    Great lecture. This is the Russian equivalent of the Cuban missile crisis.

    • John L
      John L 3 months ago +61

      @edrdavenport78 It was also Cuba’s right to align with themselves with the USSR, particularly after the ‘Bay of Pigs invasion’ a year earlier. Kennedy was right to protect Americans from having nukes on their front doorstep during the missile crisis; it’s also reasonable for Russia to protect their strategic interests. Put yourself in their shoes.

    • Victor Shankle
      Victor Shankle 3 months ago +2

      I sure hope not

    • edrdavenport78
      edrdavenport78 3 months ago +13

      Not equivalent. Russia literally annexed a part of Ukraine. If the Ukrainians feel it's in their best interest to join NATO, that's their prerogative. There's nothing inherently offensive about that, as there was with the Cuban missile crisis.

  • Athene Wu
    Athene Wu 3 months ago +66

    Very good explanation on the Ukraine crisis, and many of his concerns have even come true, amazing. But even such a professor also likes to sugarcoat the so-called 'promotion of democracy' and question the legitimacy of the governments of other countries... Who gives the Americans such arrogance while the election here in the US is being questioned or called stolen by almost half of the voters?

  • Chris Fox
    Chris Fox 3 months ago +242

    One of the most interesting videos I have watched ... ever. What a superbly informed man.

  • J Schroeder
    J Schroeder 3 months ago +455

    Concise, objective, non-partisan, in other words: brilliant. We need more academics who understand "Realpolitik."

  • therealrockguy
    therealrockguy 3 months ago +87

    Thank you for sharing. You made your points very clear and easy to understand.

  • R Ally
    R Ally 3 months ago +137

    A masterclass in geopolitics. Thanks.

  • Asad Saleem
    Asad Saleem 3 months ago +114

    This man better be alive because he's a legend

    • Ron MacKinnon
      Ron MacKinnon 3 months ago +23

      He's alive -- though unfortunately, one of the few other American scholars who shared his critique whom he mentioned during this talk, Stephen Cohen, passed away in 2020. Another voice of sanity who is sorely missed.

  • Magnus Adolfsson
    Magnus Adolfsson 3 months ago +98

    Great lecture. There is somehow a super-power perspective, should we look the other way for nations to decide their own alliance?

    • Tolbka Miskin
      Tolbka Miskin 3 months ago +11

      ​@Juhani Välimäki well, i wrote most "russians" not ukrainians who speak russian, but actually russians. I hope you get it.
      And maybe 80 percent ukrainins speak russians because of decades of "rusification". And those 20 percent perfectly understands russian language.
      To be clear, russians in russia, want war, they was so happy because of war in georgia, they happy to know that another ukrainian soldier died. Its their mentality to live in shit, being robed by their own goverment, but blaim usa, europe, ukraine, and feel happy when something bad happens to those.
      So telling that putin provoked by nato is such BS... nodody wanted to be part of nato in ukraine, but when russia invades in crimea and created that war in donbas, just to be safer only because of what russia did, yes people want to be in nato.
      And russia spend billions to pay all those professors, blogers, and others, to spread that lie that russia is being provocked, when its other way around, russia just terrorize countries until they want to be part of nato to be protected from russia.

    • Juhani Välimäki
      Juhani Välimäki 3 months ago +11

      @Tolbka Miskin I know five Russian speaking Ukrainians personally enough to know what they think. All against Putin. Of course my statistic sample is small and there might be bias as they are all educated and can read English. And they are also in Finland.
      But certainly does not look like the armchair professor is thinking that all Russian-speaking would be for Moscow.

  • Stuart Campbell
    Stuart Campbell 3 months ago +34

    So cool to hear Jeff Goodblum in the audience 😉! In all seriousness: thoughtful questions to a such an insightful, engaging lecture. Nationalism does indeed seem to run amuck "as a most infantile disease"--be it in Eastern Europe, North America, or Asia.

  • Graeme Glen
    Graeme Glen 3 months ago +878

    Wow !! I was watching this without checking the date (6 years ago) and thought he was talking about current events. Things that pertain to this week. Which essentially he is. It's a shame Governments are controlled by politicians and not clear thinking smart people like John here.

  • Gloria z
    Gloria z 3 months ago +60

    here is an amazing lesson to people who have only Western information. But also to those interested in more information past and present geopolitical situations with the potential of a disaster for Ukraine, The West is blind or better the US is with so narrow view that is incredibly stupid.

  • Lemon Party
    Lemon Party 4 months ago +1322

    Six years later and what this man has been saying has come to pass, such as the US/Nato influence in Ukraine and the China threat. The truth of what he says is obvious even to a layman like myself.

    • Luther Blissett
      Luther Blissett 3 months ago +7

      @birmingham0613 We did that for strategic reasons. Wouldn't have mattered if the leader of Germany was Mother Theresa, we didn't want a hegemon in Europe, we wanted a balance of power.

    • birmingham0613
      birmingham0613 3 months ago +4

      @Luther Blissett Particularly in international relations.Ever hear of our involvement in WW2?Yeah,I thought as much.

    • birmingham0613
      birmingham0613 4 months ago

      @The Fong An amazing dunce who despises morality.

  • Beautiful Ethiopia
    Beautiful Ethiopia 3 months ago +141

    I like someone who dare to speak the truth in all its simplicity.

  • Mark Rowley
    Mark Rowley 3 months ago +192

    It's a shame for the Ukrainian people this kind of pragmatism doesnt get put forward as the solution

  • Stephen williams
    Stephen williams 3 months ago +370

    Is this guy still lecturing or has he been cancelled because he drew his responses from all sources instead of the approved list. I found his depth and insightful conclusions amazingly accurate considering they were almost 7 years ago

  • lerake lerake
    lerake lerake 3 months ago +48

    Amazing. It must be the first American theorist who understood so much correctly about Russia and Ukraine, my neck of the woods. I disagree with some small points, but John M. must have a crystall ball, he was so right in 2015!

  • Life With Daughters
    Life With Daughters 4 months ago +604

    Well thank you so much! This was amazing, something has not sat right with me when it came to the issue of Ukraine and I’m so glad I came across this video has really helped me to understand and confirm in my heart what I’ve been sensing and feeling this whole time.

    • Jc tr4
      Jc tr4 3 months ago +96

      Yes, We will never find the truth listening to main stream media.

    • Robert Walton-Sharp
      Robert Walton-Sharp 4 months ago +27

      It is an alternative reality, which if you start watching Russia Today will seem all the more real to you.

  • Arthur Red
    Arthur Red 3 months ago +168

    Ukraine has been led to believe that the west will back them once conflicts starts. Georgia thought the same and paid for their mistakes.

    • Michael Moroz
      Michael Moroz 3 months ago +27

      not just led to believe - told it in writing in exchange for Ukraine dismantling its nukes and much of their weaponry.
      we incentivized them to cripple their military and promised them protection in response, all to abandon them and all in the name of global disarmament.

  • techguy651
    techguy651 3 months ago +63

    The Clash of Civilizations book should be standard reading for the 21st century. We’re witnessing the decentralization of power away from formalized nation states and the more we try to centralize that power (into NATO/EU or whatever) instead of allowing decentralized sovereignty, the more of these conflicts we’re going to see.

  • Anton Andreev
    Anton Andreev 3 months ago +122

    Absolutely brilliant and still relevant. Good lord, why am I only watching this now?

  • Whekau
    Whekau 3 months ago +378

    It scares me how few respected scholars aren't afraid to speak truth about Russia and Ukraine. Stephen Cohen and John Mearsheimer are the only two that come to my mind. And few MSM give them platform these days.

  • Mark Swanson
    Mark Swanson 3 months ago +44

    So glad I've watched this. The proposed ideas here for Ukraine becoming a nuetral state, bolstered economically by both east and west, sounds like wisdom.
    It is okay to accept that Russia has concerns around strategically important neighbour states aligninging with old foes and "the west" / NATO absolutely should, and I would argue, have an obligation to, formerly declare any NATO expansion into any neighbouring countries to Russia.
    That would be fair and reasonable, and if anyone who matters is reading this, I would implore UN security council members from non Nato states to diplomatically push this agenda.

    • VlandroV
      VlandroV 3 months ago +4

      "For Ilyin any talk about a Ukraine separate from Russia made one a mortal enemy of Russia. He disputed that an individual could choose their nationality any more than cells can decide whether they are part of a body."
      - The Road to unfreedom: Russia, Europe, America.

  • Jerry Cutler
    Jerry Cutler 3 months ago +150

    As always, Dr. Mearsheimer, thank you so much for your wisdom.👏

  • dj darksideJungle
    dj darksideJungle 3 months ago +103

    John Mearsheimer is spot on as usual and lot of people would say oh hes another conspiracy guy if you played him people and said listen to what John Mearsheimer got to say and its anything but a conspiracy i would say leaning more towards counter intelligence then a conspiracy but a lot of people would associate what hes saying with that but hes spot on and to the point

  • Kay Trebesch
    Kay Trebesch 3 months ago +48

    Fast forward to January 2022 and we now have the scenario he describes in the last minute of this video, which he describes as potentially very dangerous.

  • Utkarsh Mishra
    Utkarsh Mishra 3 months ago +1079

    He basically predicted all the things which are happening today in 2022, excellent person

    • Wizard of Oz
      Wizard of Oz 3 months ago +14

      @Maria Ivanova and what Zhirinovsky predicted before Americans invaded Iraq? Complete and total nonsense.

    • Maria Ivanova
      Maria Ivanova 3 months ago +77

      A Russian politician, Vladimir Zhirinovsky, predicted this in 2000's, so not much new for me here.

    • Anirban Roy
      Anirban Roy 3 months ago +68

      @Alexi Fane bro then how will the media and politican eat

    • Alexi Fane
      Alexi Fane 3 months ago +85

      and not enough people listened, shame.

  • Winston WIRHT
    Winston WIRHT 3 months ago +12

    Very informative....the backgrounds of the conflicts in Ukraine are now very clear to me. Many thanks for that.

  • KoSh Films
    KoSh Films 3 months ago +141

    i hope Ukraine lives in peace and prosperity and does not have a conflict....Russia and the west should have a diplomatic solution..attacking Ukraine is not a solution. it will bring misery to so many innocent people

    • joe k
      joe k 3 months ago +17

      This is true. A war would be a tragedy they are basically the same people.

  • Jeff Fredriksz
    Jeff Fredriksz 3 months ago +7

    More Americans, especially those in universities across the country should view this lecture as part of their curriculum. They can still form their own opinions as to the crisis that's transpiring now, but at least they'll have a background from which to compare what we're being told in five minute news snippets on mainstream media and/or slogans from our elected officials on such a high stake crisis.

    • Jeff Fredriksz
      Jeff Fredriksz 3 months ago

      @Black & White Jazz I will look for that. Thank you

    • Jeff Fredriksz
      Jeff Fredriksz 3 months ago

      @Black & White Jazz I appreciate your comment so thank you for that. However, by default, it suggests you've made a comparison so I'm wondering what other information you have access to compare/ contrast and thus form your opinion? Again, I'm just curious.

  • Sue James
    Sue James 3 months ago +137

    An absolutely brilliant talk..Most of what we see is the West positioning, I am really grateful people are watching this, as most people hear the word Russian, and immediately think they are at fault.. Even being blamed now for the Canadian truckers...

    • Künstlerin-DAB1995
      Künstlerin-DAB1995 3 months ago +7

      Is Putin's torture of Crimean Tatars just the fault of the West as well?

    • Warren S.
      Warren S. 3 months ago +14

      "Even being blamed now for the Canadian truckers..." Lol yeah, that might be the dumbest thing to emerge in 2021 thus far *facepalm*

  • John Burton
    John Burton 3 months ago +20

    Excellent presentation on the causes and implications of Ukrainian crisis given in 2015 that hold true for 2022. It has implications for American Ukrainian policies in 2022 towards resolution of the 2022 Ukrainian crisis with RUSSIA!

  • pusheen73
    pusheen73 3 months ago +112

    Amazing! America still has smart people like him!

  • gertbamse1
    gertbamse1 3 months ago +12

    He says what the majority of Europeans think.
    Politicians and big business want their bread basket, and a new market for their products.
    The politicians and the big industry will make a lot of money and we the people will pay the price to get that country up to the standard of Western Europe.
    And just the thought of all that crime and corruption and half of Ukraine will flow into Europe.

  • Flankymanga
    Flankymanga 4 months ago +174

    I am watching this video in anuary 2022 thinking that this presentation happened in December 2021. You can't imagine my shock finding out that prof. Mearsheimer had this presentation in 2015 and everything he said was spot on. The things he discussed are playing out right now as i write this comments.

  • Dadson worldwide
    Dadson worldwide 3 months ago +15

    It's time to support the will of the people over the borders drawn up by authoritative elites. Not just here in Ukraine but all around the world. Inspire great government and leadership to compete for populations. That goes for my beloved USA. If certain states continue ro adopt foreign ideas changing their culture and ideology beyond recognition then they need to be responsible for themselves without dragging down others.
    Culture is the right of all people and of its doesn't align the state military force has never the answer.

  • Cockney Buddhist
    Cockney Buddhist 3 months ago +34

    Thanks for that, I understand the reasons better now, excellent lecture :-)

    • Nu Pagadii
      Nu Pagadii 3 months ago

      Well, Well, Well,,,, WHAT A BS....
      An Ethnicity is wrong objective factor, beside it is. Stalin when conquered half Europe in 1945 (with help of Western powers) changed strategic/ethnic/countries map of Central Europe.
      Best examples are Latvia. Lithuania and Estonia, where he deported natives and imported Russians as "natives". The most clear of all of them is Kaliningrad/Królewiec/Konigsberg...
      This argument is missed TOTALLY. It is good to know it, however is HISTORICLY/Ethnically INCORRECT - unless the prof. is RUSSIAN INFLUENCE AGENT.....
      Similar happened in Ukraine at the time of Great Hunger 1932/33 when East region of Ukraine was DEPOPULATED of NATIVE UKRAINIANS where the map shows by the professor.
      The "WAR" in UKRAINE started way before 2014, when President Viktor A. Yushchenko was unsuccessfully assassinated, by POISONING him in 2004 with dioxin (TCDD).
      Than were political influences inside of Ukraine via Russian intelligence. Inside conflict between Yushchenko and Timoshenko. Gas conflict with Russia at the time of Timoshenko PM.
      NATO expansion is due to AGRESSIVE RUSSIA actions: Wars in Caucasus countries and destabilization of this region, most notable are two wars in Chechnya (I 1994-96 and II 1999-2009), Georgia war in 2008 (WRONG THESIS of war reasoning by the professor - TRUE was Poland, Ukraine, Georgia and Azerbaijan wanted to secure gas supply AWAY from RUSSIA) , Assassination of Polish President and 95 other hi ranking officials in 2010 in Smolensk; Cyber attacks in: Estonia 2007, Latvia 2008, Lithuania 2016; East Ukraine (Donbas region) war with annexation of Crimea in 2014. V Column in Ukraine Army (high ranking officers sold-out quietly Ukrainian army supplies and during annexation of Crimea prolonged decision making for younger eager to defend officers.
      Shooting down civilian MH 17 in 2014 Donetsk region. via German BND report. Russian separatists (GRU officers) in BUK land-air system made satellite phone to Kremlin for decision to shoot down the plane....
      Ukraine is WEST oriented and naturally like other central Europe countries see Russia AGRESSION and wants to stop it and get in to NATO eventually as the PROTECTOR of UKRAINE INDEPENDANCE/FREEDOM. Ukraine is West oriented and their future is with EU economically.
      Maydan deaths are because of pro Russian president Yanukovich who gave such a order and later of he flea to Russia.... Russia PROPAGANDA - "Armed Maydan Fascists'", they armed themselves with hunting riffles after pro Russian Yanukovich gave the order to shoot. Protesters has been defending themselves - WHAT A BS - the prof. is RUSSIAN INFLUENCE AGENT.....
      Ukraine is about 5% world producer, has nuclear complex knowledge together with advanced way of it deployment, has Ivachenko-Progress/Motor-Sich company, Antonov company, ENORMOUS GAS Deposits in CRIMEA (Gas deposits compared to Syria, Valodia [Vladimir Putin], was so in hurry for it that forget about Crimea WATER SUPPLY in 2014) and WAY, WAY, MORE....
      Valodia needs Ukraine from it's own resources and when it would become part of EU it will accelerate fast, that later on Russians will see advanced Ukraine vs Russia at way back/down and would realize leadership incompetency. Valodia knows it and is acting ahead,,,,

      Ukraine interests: Russia, China, USA and Israel (President Vlodomyr Zelenski is Jewish).
      The WAR in UKRAINE is presented as a FRGMENT by the professor, because the WHOLE PICTURE is to PUT USA OUT OF EUROPE....
      Professor John J. Mearsheimer is "RUSSIAN INFLUENCE AGENT" same like in the past economy prof. Oscar Lange (call name: FRIEND) also teaching at the University of Chicago......

  • Ananda Wijesinghe
    Ananda Wijesinghe 4 months ago +21

    Totally agree with the good professor's analysis !

  • ShanghaiDiscovery
    ShanghaiDiscovery 3 months ago +38

    Quite prophetic in terms of what is going right now in Ukraine but also in the fact that the US seems to have misread China in the same way they misread Russia.... Amazing that US diplomats no longer seem to draw lessons from history, or even from recent events

    • Samuel Dixon
      Samuel Dixon 3 months ago +1

      They are focused on current events...not current history, which is the last 2500 years. Because of this they are doomed to fail.

    • Kristopher Noronha
      Kristopher Noronha 3 months ago +1

      ... or logic, realistc assessment of its current threats for that matter.

    • Athene Wu
      Athene Wu 3 months ago +1

      Perhaps because they don't even know history or common sense...

  • Chris Redding
    Chris Redding 4 months ago +3409

    As many below have said: You have to keep reminding yourself that this lecture happened over six years ago.

    • Haez
      Haez 3 months ago +6

      I mean the US have been interfering in Ukraine since the 50s

    • fsinjin60
      fsinjin60 3 months ago +3

      @Alpha Beta Zeta Because Russia is already beyond its borders. In Georgia, in Ukraine, Crimea, even Kalinograd if truth be recognized. Why doesn't Ukraine has a right to defend its border with foreign help?

  • Toby Sirus
    Toby Sirus 3 months ago +16

    The pairing of financial sanctions with export controls would inflict pain on Russia immediately and over time. The impact of financial sanctions, which could apply to Russia’s largest banks as well as to civilian aerospace, maritime or emerging tech firms, would probably be felt first. Banking sanctions in particular probably would drive up Russian inflation and trigger a devaluation of the ruble.

    • Derrick Dimig
      Derrick Dimig 3 months ago +4

      @Anna S Exactly, I would think it also creates a convenient enemy and scapegoat for the people's suffering.

  • Paul Garland
    Paul Garland 3 months ago +37

    Bravo!! This should be required viewing for all western governments

    • Wizard of Oz
      Wizard of Oz 3 months ago

      Right. Even western governments need time for old good satire and comedy...

  • Cosmo Smallpiece
    Cosmo Smallpiece 3 months ago +67

    Good lecture and by and large factual, but still a US view. Certainly the most unbiased view from John.

    • emma bubla
      emma bubla 3 months ago

      @Cosmo Smallpiece I'll take that as a complement:)

    • Cosmo Smallpiece
      Cosmo Smallpiece 3 months ago +1

      @emma bubla when the loans cannot be repaid what then...true no tanks..the chinese are subtle.

    • Cosmo Smallpiece
      Cosmo Smallpiece 3 months ago

      @canon2k7 they own a huge chunk of Darwin. The yanks lease their base.

    • Random Name
      Random Name 3 months ago +1

      @punk4rockorz I never claimed china was the good guy. they are on the defensive most of the time, until recently when they started pushing back. but when it comes to the china good vs china bad narrative, where the bad stories are overwhelmingly sourced from US/western media where they have clear motive to do so, I'm leaning towards the china good (or I should say China not bad) side 9 times out of 10.
      by the way, none of the channels I mentioned are China based. they are independent sources, and quite a few of them are sick of US imperialism and war mongering. the US uses lies to start wars because the "defense" contractors, who lobby congress, profit in times of conflict and turmoil.

  • Tim Dickinson
    Tim Dickinson 3 months ago +178

    This lecture is particularly interesting given recent events along the Russian --Ukrainian border. Events in that area seem always to occur in the month of February. I wonder why. Therefore, I would strongly advise Ukrainian leaders to watch this lecture ASAP, wake up, and get off the primrose path that the "benign hegemon" in the West is leading them up.

    • Tim Dickinson
      Tim Dickinson 3 months ago +11

      @guzy1971 let’s hope so!

    • guzy1971
      guzy1971 3 months ago +19

      Well apparently the current ukranian President begins to understand it. He asked Biden to calm down his belllecist mood

  • David Alberto Gomez Ibarra

    Thanks to Dr Mearsheimer for sharing his knowledge in geopolitics. I think besides the US mistakes, Russia has had very poor "Neighbour Strategies" , instead to enhance his relationships with his closest neighbours in many ways (economical, exchanges, etc) and shield his boundaries based on economic interdependence, Russia has been a threat , at least for Ukraine and Georgia stealing their land.

  • Shelly Smith
    Shelly Smith 3 months ago +90

    I started watching this and thought it was recorded in Jan 2022! This is exactly what is still happening!

  • Rahul Singh Yadav
    Rahul Singh Yadav 3 months ago +59

    Man this lecture has become "another writing on the wall", almost like a prophecy.

    • Shankar Sivarajan
      Shankar Sivarajan 3 months ago +4

      @Olde Tyme Biker He had two. They're called "eyes."

    • Silver Lining
      Silver Lining 3 months ago

      Strange isn't it

    • Olde Tyme Biker
      Olde Tyme Biker 3 months ago +4

      I’m in complete agreement. The man called it like he had a magic ball.

  • K G
    K G 3 months ago +84

    FASCINATING! Cant believe i was watching a vid from 2015, thought i was watching a current lecture, haha! BRILLIANT! And totally currently relevant

  • James Parker
    James Parker 3 months ago +348

    This guy nailed it. History proved him to be correct, over 6 years later. The "Washington Gang" should have listened.

  • Congruent-thoughts
    Congruent-thoughts 4 months ago +4

    Very much what happen the last decades. And accurate in the analys.
    What I miss are the even deeper roots of the problem: 1: Modern Ukrain is often called by our historiens a artifical state. Some were part of Poland patchworked together with land taken from Romania, from all kind of Russian tribes got forced to live in one state under Sovjet Union.
    There are missing two important sentences in the Professors lectures who will make the Picture even more understandable. Just stretch the Timeline a little out. There was Leonid Bresjnjew, who did give the new country Ukraine a present whithout asking the proud Kosacs first. He gave away the most loyal kosak Warriors who were fighting against Napoleon and fighting WWI and WWII, as a gift to their Ukraine. A gift to get Ukraina watching over the huge Russian Fleet in the Black Sea.
    So when a drunken president can give this Island away - who actually is physicly connectet to Russia in the East and on the same way with one Street on a Sandbank to Ukraine to the North - another President like Putin kan also take it back again. This part is never mentioned.
    And what is even perhaps the deepest cause and the main reason of this conflict, is our own former Primeminister of Norway Stoltenberg, who got the secretary general of Nato.
    This guy either goes on drugs, psychopharmaca or a paranoia had taken over his brain. He seems to me psychotic. Building up middle distance range rockets pointing to Russia in every of the former Soviet Union stats, is really not shaping rapport nor trust. And when it was a opening in Ukraina to Nato, the Generals where there on Crimea to see for possible rocket lauchbases on this Island. It wil have made Russia check mat. Loosing the entire fleet in Black See stationed for decates on this Island, will have weakened Russia totally. When the deal was not possible, this hysterical Natosecretary was so disappointet and was ready for war. They allready did see a picture of endless rocket bases along the border pointing at every Russian city and controlling the Russian fleet did make this little guy droal. This thin little guy, nobody takes him serious here in Norway, after his hysterical behavior, is feeling strong with all the rockets.
    Norway who also has a border with Russia had never problems with our Neighbours.
    They helped us in the North, when German soldiers did burn down every town and every village on their retreat to Germany when they where loosing the war. Russian soldiers did share their little food with the refugees and dit help where they could. And they did leave the country right away again. No problems with our neighbour. But now this Nato Stoltenberg like to have Amarican soldiers on our soil in the North too, having Lauchbases near the Russian border. This guy must be on psychopharmaca. Now Russian military for first time ever will set up the same on their side, pointing at our country. What a jerk.
    This little thin guy is unbeliefable. Making the world a real unsave place. He just don’t get it.
    Putin is fortunatly more rational and tells in a quiet tone, when there are set up rockets on Greenland, Iceland and now Norway, on the Baltic States and perhaps now all the way around Russia on Ukraine soil, the time to react is shorter and shorter. One wrong signal of a rocket in direction to Moscow, will send out automaticly thousands of atomic warheads to US and every European capital. The West will be whiped out. No time to check whether it is a failour or a real rocket. So Nato rocketbases so close to Russian border may destroy the world by excidence.
    We have to see the entire picture of this madness, not just a tiny peace of a Timeline. Ukraine are our friends. 3 Viking Kings did made the country: the Kiev Rus.
    A Swedish tribe making the entire East civilized with Novosibirsk as a new swedish speaking capital. Later they liberated Kiev from the Ottomans. This is why Western Russia and Ukraine where our former Viking family in the East, like Sweden and are not our natual enemies. Stalin tried to change the Russian history, he will not remember this part. Another little angry guy from the Slavic part of Russia. But the blond Russian and Ukrain people have it in their blood and genes. We don’t need rockets pointing against each other.

  • hyhhy
    hyhhy 3 months ago +38

    This guy knows his stuff.

  • Josh Spry
    Josh Spry 3 months ago +121

    Watching this 7 years later and I can say we pushed Russia to china.

  • Maggie Kri
    Maggie Kri 4 months ago +604

    Thanks for laying it out so clearly - more people need to see this.

    • NO NO
      NO NO 3 months ago +20

      @1_UW Ukraine shouldnt join NATO. If you say that Ukraine should join Nato then how about Cuba joining Russia and actually deploying nukes to kick USA out

  • jerryakehurst
    jerryakehurst 3 months ago +51

    Puts in mind Churchill's comment - "You can always trust the Americans to do the right thing ....... after they've tried everything else"

  • Samantha Magee
    Samantha Magee 3 months ago +103

    A friendly reminder this was 6 YEARS ago! This is a smart man! Sopt On! Genius! Not one single CONSPIRACY added to this lecture.... NOT FAKE NEWS! TRUTH!!

  • the online window shopper
    the online window shopper 3 months ago +12

    People should watch this Jesus Christ this man is spot on

  • endall39
    endall39 3 months ago +65

    I want to see an updated version of this lecture

  • jingalo
    jingalo 3 months ago +21

    The problem here is that the West guaranteed Ukraine’s security when they asked Ukraine to give up their nuclear weapons, which they did. The West guaranteed their sovereignty if they gave up their nuclear weapons. THAT is as good as Article 5 , in my opinion.

    • Andyyy Gane
      Andyyy Gane 3 months ago +6

      The assurances given were not guarantees. If you look at the actual wording you will see repeatedly the word "refrain". You do not guarantee something or someone by pledging to refrain from doing something.

  • Bishop Woodrow H. Dawkins Jr.

    Now This Man Knows What He's Talking About. Thank You Sir.